[ubuntu-uk] [marketing] Tipping Point conditions analysed

[YaManicKill]

> Even sillier, a quote from the article: "When the number of committed
> opinion holders is below 10 percent, there is no visible progress in
> the spread of ideas. It would literally take the amount of time
> comparable to the age of the universe for this size group to reach the
> majority,".  How then does the number of committed opinion holders
> ever get to 10% in the first place, as apparently it will take the age
> of the universe to get from say 5% to a majority, but only a short
> time to get from 10% to a majority.  The corollary is that it will
> take the age of the universe to get from 5% to 10%.
>
> Colin
>

I thought this at first, but it does make a wee bit of sense. I think
what they are trying to say is that if it kept going at the same speed
when it got over 10% as it was under 10%, then it would take that
long. However, when it gets above 10% it increases possibly
exponentially.

However the article does in itself seem a bit far fetched about it
always happening. I understand what they are trying to get at, and it
makes a wee bit of sense...but not ALWAYS. That's a stupid term that
scientists should never use.

YaManicKill