[Bug 1] Re: Microsoft has a majority market share

Conrad Knauer atheoi at gmail.com
Mon Apr 7 06:27:57 UTC 2008


Regarding the number of Linux distributions, while there are a lot
(around 350 "active" ones listed on DistroWatch as per
http://distrowatch.com/weekly.php?issue=20080331), the vast majority are
minor players (just getting started, winding down, niche, etc.)  I put
some of my notes about that here:
http://limulus.wordpress.com/2007/06/29/pclinuxos-popularity/  IMHO
there is really only one "main" Linux distribution; that would be Ubuntu
:)  Yes, you can find others that do particular things better and/or
differently, but Ubuntu is usually voted the most popular, the one by
which others tend to be judged these days and as a whole it does a very
good job.

As far as a "COMPLETELY user friendly" Linux distro, I would suggest
calling it 'Utopia OS' since NO OS is "COMPLETELY user friendly".  The
best you can do is continually work at it :)

Regarding proprietary games, with Wine 1.0 coming out soon, I would
suggest that would be a better focus for compatibility than any
particular Linux distro.

Regarding your point #2, with just a little pickyness when selecting
hardware, Ubuntu is the "superior OS" compared to Windows (*especially
Vista* http://limulus.wordpress.com/2008/04/05/an-unscientific-poll/ ;)
so I suppose that it really IS just a question of marketing now.  My
personal prediction is that the third LTS Ubuntu release, which should
be 10.04, will achieve a 'Windows 95' type breakthrough (the oft-
predicted 'year of the Linux desktop';

I think the trick to getting advertising will be getting the OEMs
onboard.  Dell is still being timid about showing off their Ubuntu
systems.  If a couple more OEMs started preloading Ubuntu, then we
probably will see some ads going up as they compete with each other for

Anyway, just a little closing thought; I am running Ubuntu Hardy (pre-
release) on a three year old computer (2 GHz 32-bit AMD (single)
Processor, 1 GB RAM, 128 MB ATI Radeon 9250-based video card, DVD RW
drive) that is probably worth less than $500 US (including the monitor)
now and yet it runs like a dream; my windows are wobbly, my 'desktop' is
a cube, and when I press super-k I get stars around my cursor (its the
little things that make me happy :)  I am not in a constant state of
paranoia over malware, my software didn't cost a large percentage of my
hardware, my documents are saved in formats that I should easily be able
to open in a decade, and there is no DRM to be seen anywhere ^_^  I've
been talking to a young guy who works at a local computer store and he
is just in awe of Ubuntu; its like magic to him ('WOW' moments included:
free cost, EULA (yes, please do make copies for your friends :), LiveCD,
Synaptic, Compiz fun, predictable releases).  Once there is a 'critical
mass' of 'average' people who know about Desktop Linux in its current
form, I don't think that OEMs will be able to ignore the demand.

Microsoft has a majority market share
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